Port Vale vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
POR
2 - 2
RED
86%
10%
5%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SWI
0 - 0
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
POR
2 - 0
QPR
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
POR
1 - 5
PLY
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
7 - 2
SHI
84%
11%
6%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
CHL
4 - 2
NOT
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 0
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
GRI
2 - 0
NOT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |