Port Vale vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
SWI
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
HAR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
STO
1 - 2
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
BOU
38%
26%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
SHW
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
LUT
1 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 1
LUT
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 3
LUT
47%
24%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
LUT
1 - 0
HUL
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
HUR
1 - 1
LUT
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |