Port Vale vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
STF
0 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
OLD
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
FLE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
DON
0 - 0
POR
39%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
WYC
2 - 0
HAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 0
STA
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DON
2 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 0
CHE
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
ROC
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |