Port Vale vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
WYC
38%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
LEE
4 - 1
POR
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 3
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
WBA
12%
22%
67%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 0
BAR
37%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 2
BOL
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
QUO
3 - 1
CRE
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | +1 |