Port Vale vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
POR
2 - 1
WOL
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 6
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
POR
2 - 3
LEY
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
STE
2 - 1
POR
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
SCU
0 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
GRI
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
COL
1 - 1
CRA
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
EXE
6 - 1
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
COL
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |