League One Round 28

Port Vale vs Brentford analysis

Port Vale Brentford
56 ELO 60
-0.2% Tilt -6.9%
2499º General ELO ranking 76º
66º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Port Vale
26.1%
Draw
35.7%
Brentford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.7%
Win probability
Brentford
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
+9%
+3%
Brentford

ELO progression

Port Vale
Brentford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2002
POS
Peterborough United
3 - 0
Port Vale
POR
59%
23%
19%
56 58 2 0
01 Jan. 2002
REA
Reading
2 - 0
Port Vale
POR
66%
20%
14%
57 65 8 -1
29 Dec. 2001
POR
Port Vale
3 - 1
Colchester United
COL
41%
26%
33%
56 58 2 +1
26 Dec. 2001
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Bristol City
BRI
35%
27%
39%
55 63 8 +1
21 Dec. 2001
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Port Vale
POR
58%
23%
19%
56 59 3 -1

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2001
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
1 - 0
Brentford
BRE
62%
20%
18%
61 65 4 0
26 Dec. 2001
CAM
Cambridge United
2 - 1
Brentford
BRE
30%
26%
44%
61 47 14 0
21 Dec. 2001
BRE
Brentford
3 - 0
Northampton
NOR
68%
20%
12%
61 50 11 0
15 Dec. 2001
BRE
Brentford
3 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
63%
21%
17%
60 51 9 +1
08 Dec. 2001
SCU
Scunthorpe United
3 - 2
Brentford
BRE
43%
25%
32%
61 58 3 -1