Pontefract Collieries vs Birtley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TAD
0 - 4
PON
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
PON
2 - 2
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
LON
17%
20%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
STO
2 - 0
PON
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PON
3 - 1
LIN
35%
23%
43%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Birtley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BTF
2 - 1
GUI
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 4
BTF
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +2 |