Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
PPE
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 4
CRZ
30%
29%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
PPE
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
SPO
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRI
41%
31%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRB
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |