Ponferradina vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEG
3 - 0
PON
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 3
ALM
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
PON
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
BAD
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OVI
3 - 0
PON
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 2
ZAR
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MLL
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 1
ZAR
49%
26%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 3
GIR
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |