Ponferradina vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
MIR
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MLL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REC
2 - 2
ZAR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ZAR
0 - 2
RMC
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 1
ZAR
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZAR
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |