Ponferradina vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
PON
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
PON
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PON
2 - 2
SPO
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
PON
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
SAB
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
MLL
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
REC
2 - 0
HER
41%
29%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
RMC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 0
HER
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |