Ponferradina vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CAS
4 - 0
PON
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
PON
1 - 3
CAD
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 1
PON
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PON
1 - 1
MUR
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CDT
0 - 1
PON
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
LOR
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VAD
0 - 1
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
XER
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
HER
50%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
CIU
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |