Polonia Warszawa vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
POL
2 - 5
WIS
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
POL
1 - 0
OWD
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
POL
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
POL
1 - 1
LPO
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GOR
2 - 1
POL
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SWI
0 - 4
DYS
20%
26%
55%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
LPO
5 - 1
SWI
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SWI
1 - 3
WAR
19%
25%
57%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SWI
1 - 2
PLO
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GOR
1 - 0
SWI
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |