Pol. Ciliverghe vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
CIS
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 1
PSM
30%
28%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
PSM
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
ACL
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
DAR
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
VBE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
DAR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
DCA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |