Police XI vs Gaborone United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
POL
2 - 1
BRH
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
EXT
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
SSS
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
SBB
1 - 1
POL
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gaborone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GAB
1 - 1
SBB
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GAB
2 - 0
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
GAL
1 - 0
GAB
54%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GAB
1 - 0
NOT
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
GAB
2 - 0
BLF
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |