Poli Almería vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
YEC
1 - 2
POL
58%
24%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
POL
1 - 0
CAD
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
REC
1 - 0
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
POL
1 - 0
NOV
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BET
2 - 2
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 2
SEV
43%
27%
29%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
MMA
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
MMA
1 - 0
MAL
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
GRA
0 - 1
MMA
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
MMA
0 - 2
UDS
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |