Polan vs Sporting de Galvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
POL
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
POL
2 - 4
TOR
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
POL
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
TAL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COL
0 - 2
POL
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting de Galvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SGA
1 - 0
GUA
71%
15%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
SGA
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SGA
2 - 1
ORO
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CAZ
2 - 2
SGA
36%
23%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SGA
4 - 1
ECG
54%
19%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |