Pogradeci vs KF Luftëtari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
2º
34
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TEP
2 - 1
POG
10%
20%
70%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
LFC
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
POG
11%
20%
70%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POG
7 - 0
ALB
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 6
POG
5%
16%
78%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
KF Luftëtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
5 - 2
DEV
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
0 - 1
TEP
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 0
LUF
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LUF
3 - 1
SHK
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 1
LUF
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |