Podolye Podolskiy Rayon vs Vityaz Noginsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
1º
22
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
6º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
97.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
92% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podolye Podolskiy Rayon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKD
0 - 6
POD
9%
14%
78%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POD
1 - 3
FKZ
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
3 - 9
POD
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POD
6 - 1
FKK
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKL
0 - 2
POD
12%
16%
71%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Vityaz Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BVN
1 - 0
FKK
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FKL
3 - 1
BVN
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 1
BVN
81%
11%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BVN
1 - 3
FKY
17%
18%
64%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FMK
0 - 0
BVN
71%
15%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |