League Two Round 5

Plymouth Argyle vs Walsall analysis

Plymouth Argyle Walsall
58 ELO 51
10.5% Tilt -10.4%
1452º General ELO ranking 2263º
48º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
62.5%
Plymouth Argyle
21.3%
Draw
16.2%
Walsall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
Walsall
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
-3%
+12%
Walsall

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Walsall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2019
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 2
Salford City
SAL
48%
25%
27%
57 57 0 0
17 Aug. 2019
NEW
Newport County
1 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
51%
26%
23%
58 61 3 -1
13 Aug. 2019
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 0
Leyton Orient
LEY
45%
24%
31%
57 57 0 +1
10 Aug. 2019
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 0
Colchester United
COL
51%
25%
25%
56 57 1 +1
03 Aug. 2019
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
53%
24%
22%
55 56 1 +1

Matches

Walsall
Walsall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2019
WAL
Walsall
0 - 0
Newport County
NEW
29%
26%
45%
52 62 10 0
17 Aug. 2019
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Walsall
WAL
57%
23%
20%
53 56 3 -1
13 Aug. 2019
WAL
Walsall
2 - 3
Crawley Town
CRA
55%
22%
23%
54 51 3 -1
10 Aug. 2019
WAL
Walsall
1 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
37%
25%
38%
53 59 6 +1
03 Aug. 2019
NOR
Northampton
0 - 1
Walsall
WAL
56%
24%
20%
52 57 5 +1