League Two Round 26

Plymouth Argyle vs Southend United analysis

Plymouth Argyle Southend United
56 ELO 62
-17.3% Tilt -9.1%
1445º General ELO ranking 3598º
48º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Plymouth Argyle
28.1%
Draw
43%
Southend United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43%
Win probability
Southend United
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
+1%
+11%
Southend United

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Southend United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2014
POR
Port Vale
2 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
63%
21%
16%
56 61 5 0
01 Jan. 2014
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
54%
26%
20%
56 50 6 0
29 Dec. 2013
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
47%
26%
28%
56 53 3 0
26 Dec. 2013
OXF
Oxford United
2 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
59%
25%
17%
55 62 7 +1
21 Dec. 2013
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 1
Bury
BCF
41%
27%
32%
54 53 1 +1

Matches

Southend United
Southend United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2014
SOU
Southend United
4 - 1
Millwall
MIL
34%
26%
40%
60 64 4 0
01 Jan. 2014
SOU
Southend United
2 - 1
Portsmouth
OPA
57%
24%
19%
60 52 8 0
29 Dec. 2013
STA
Accrington Stanley
1 - 1
Southend United
SOU
37%
26%
38%
60 53 7 0
26 Dec. 2013
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Southend United
SOU
38%
26%
37%
60 53 7 0
20 Dec. 2013
SOU
Southend United
1 - 1
Rochdale
ROC
46%
27%
27%
60 58 2 0