Plymouth Argyle vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 1
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
PLY
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WYC
1 - 2
PLY
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
PLY
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 3
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 1
CRA
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
YEO
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 0
CRA
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |