Championship Round 7

Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis

Plymouth Argyle Bolton Wanderers
65 ELO 76
13.8% Tilt -7.7%
1455º General ELO ranking 1240º
48º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Plymouth Argyle
27%
Draw
27.4%
Bolton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
-5%
-13%
Bolton Wanderers

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Bolton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 1976
MIL
Millwall
3 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
58%
25%
17%
66 71 5 0
11 Sep. 1976
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 3
Chelsea
CHL
41%
27%
32%
66 78 12 0
04 Sep. 1976
LEY
Leyton Orient
2 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
51%
28%
21%
66 70 4 0
28 Aug. 1976
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 2
Notts County
NOT
49%
26%
25%
66 74 8 0
24 Aug. 1976
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
4 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
59%
23%
18%
65 67 2 +1

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 1976
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
59%
23%
18%
76 78 2 0
11 Sep. 1976
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
5 - 1
Hull City
HUL
60%
23%
17%
76 71 5 0
04 Sep. 1976
NOT
Notts County
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
56%
24%
20%
75 74 1 +1
28 Aug. 1976
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 1
Millwall
MIL
58%
24%
18%
75 71 4 0
24 Aug. 1976
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Leyton Orient
LEY
61%
24%
15%
75 71 4 0