Plus Ultra vs EDMF Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EGP
4 - 0
PLU
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PLU
0 - 0
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PLU
0 - 0
AGU
18%
24%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PUL
2 - 0
PLU
75%
17%
8%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PLU
0 - 2
MUL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 0
PUL
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MUL
2 - 1
CHU
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 1
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 1
CHU
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 3
UCA
46%
26%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |