Plaza Colonia vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 3
LFC
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
PLA
28%
28%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 0
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEP
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 1
PLA
40%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MWA
0 - 2
PEÑ
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOS
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CSC
75%
19%
7%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |