Oberliga NOFV-Oberliga South Round 20

VFC Plauen vs Auerbach analysis

VFC Plauen Auerbach
53 ELO 36
12% Tilt -7.9%
4924º General ELO ranking 4528º
238º Country ELO ranking 205º
ELO win probability
79.3%
VFC Plauen
13.6%
Draw
7.2%
Auerbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
VFC Plauen
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
Auerbach
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VFC Plauen
-42%
-22%
Auerbach

ELO progression

VFC Plauen
Auerbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VFC Plauen
VFC Plauen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2004
POS
Possneck
0 - 2
VFC Plauen
PLA
20%
24%
56%
53 30 23 0
05 Dec. 2003
PLA
VFC Plauen
1 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
54 41 13 -1
30 Nov. 2003
PLA
VFC Plauen
4 - 1
Dresden-Laubegast
DRE
78%
14%
8%
53 37 16 +1
21 Nov. 2003
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 1
VFC Plauen
PLA
51%
25%
25%
53 50 3 0
08 Nov. 2003
PLA
VFC Plauen
3 - 1
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
76%
15%
9%
53 39 14 0

Matches

Auerbach
Auerbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2003
SVG
FC Grimma
1 - 1
Auerbach
AUE
56%
22%
22%
37 38 1 0
29 Nov. 2003
DRE
Dresdner SC
1 - 2
Auerbach
AUE
50%
24%
26%
36 35 1 +1
22 Nov. 2003
AUE
Auerbach
0 - 0
Lokomotive Leipzig
LOK
24%
25%
51%
35 50 15 +1
08 Nov. 2003
SON
Eintracht Sondershausen
2 - 2
Auerbach
AUE
34%
25%
41%
36 27 9 -1
01 Nov. 2003
AUE
Auerbach
0 - 2
Energie Cottbus II
ENE
52%
23%
25%
37 35 2 -1