Pistoiese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAD
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
TRE
3 - 0
PIS
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIS
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
REG
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASL
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 2
CES
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
ABN
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |