Pisa SC vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 1
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ACS
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 3
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 1
SPE
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAV
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
USC
2 - 1
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 0
ASL
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 3
PAV
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |