Piornal vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
72.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piornal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
5 - 1
PIO
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PIO
2 - 1
LAS
42%
23%
35%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 0
PIO
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIO
1 - 0
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
PIO
85%
11%
4%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
MOR
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDZ
0 - 3
GUA
16%
19%
66%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDC
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CDS
4 - 2
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 0
CDD
27%
24%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |