Pinhalnovense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 1
PIN
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
PIN
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
MOU
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
PIN
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
LAG
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
ARM
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAB
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
LOU
45%
26%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |