Piacenza vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 3
PIA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PIA
2 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UAR
0 - 0
PIA
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TRA
3 - 1
PIA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 1
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
FER
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 1
FER
70%
20%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
RAV
22%
27%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
FER
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |