Piacenza vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
PIA
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 3
ACP
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
PIA
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 1
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
PIA
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
ASA
24%
29%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
FRO
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 3
CAR
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |