Philadelphia Union vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
PHU
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PHU
1 - 0
NSC
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 2
PHU
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
PHU
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 2
PHU
14%
23%
64%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
3 - 6
NSC
20%
28%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
IMI
5 - 1
CIN
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
3 - 4
CFS
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 1
ORL
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 2
PHU
14%
23%
64%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |