Montana vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
PIR
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
2 - 1
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LPL
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
MON
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 2
MON
38%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NEF
1 - 0
BVR
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BVR
0 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LSO
2 - 0
BVR
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 0
SSO
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 1
NEF
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |