Petone vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
44%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
4º
28
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
NAP
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WAF
2 - 3
PET
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 1
PET
57%
19%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
HNW
37%
21%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
PET
94%
5%
1%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WSU
3 - 3
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
WSU
35%
21%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 4
WKA
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 1
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 0
HAW
12%
14%
74%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +4 |