Scottish Cup 1/16
Global 1-6
Peterhead vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PET
3 - 0
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STM
0 - 0
PET
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
PET
5 - 1
AIR
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PET
0 - 5
BRE
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 2
PET
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 0
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STM
0 - 0
PET
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
STM
0 - 2
KIL
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
ICT
1 - 2
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |