Peterhead vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
64
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
EDI
2 - 0
PET
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
PET
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
ELG
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
KHE
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAL
2 - 0
CLY
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FAL
2 - 0
PAR
20%
22%
59%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KHE
2 - 0
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
FAL
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |