League One Round 17

Peterborough United vs Reading analysis

Peterborough United Reading
75 ELO 73
21.8% Tilt 24.5%
1660º General ELO ranking 1506º
51º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Peterborough United
21.8%
Draw
21.8%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Peterborough United
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
Reading
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterborough United
-9%
-3%
Reading

Points and table prediction

Peterborough United
Their league position
Reading
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
23º
18º
75
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
111
111
100%
Wrexham AFC
92
92
100%
Stockport County
87
87
100%
Charlton Athletic
85
85
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
84
84
100%
Leyton Orient
78
78
100%
Reading
75
75
100%
Bolton Wanderers
68
68
100%
Blackpool
67
67
100%
Huddersfield Town
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Lincoln City
11º
61
61
11º
100%
Barnsley
12º
61
61
12º
100%
Rotherham United
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Stevenage
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Wigan Athletic
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Exeter City
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Mansfield Town
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Peterborough United
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Northampton
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Burton Albion
20º
47
47
20º
100%
Crawley Town
21º
46
46
21º
100%
Bristol Rovers
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Cambridge United
23º
38
38
23º
100%
Shrewsbury Town
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Peterborough United
Reading
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Peterborough United
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterborough United
Peterborough United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
POS
Peterborough United
6 - 1
Cambridge United
CAM
77%
15%
8%
75 60 15 0
05 Nov. 2024
POS
Peterborough United
4 - 1
Crystal Palace U21
CRY
70%
16%
14%
75 55 20 0
02 Nov. 2024
NEW
Newport County
2 - 4
Peterborough United
POS
11%
15%
75%
74 57 17 +1
26 Oct. 2024
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Peterborough United
POS
47%
24%
30%
75 77 2 -1
22 Oct. 2024
POS
Peterborough United
5 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
51%
24%
25%
74 75 1 +1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2024
REA
Reading
3 - 0
Newport County
NEW
74%
16%
10%
72 56 16 0
09 Nov. 2024
STE
Stevenage
1 - 1
Reading
REA
28%
26%
46%
72 67 5 0
05 Nov. 2024
CHE
Cheltenham Town
1 - 0
Reading
REA
16%
19%
65%
72 60 12 0
02 Nov. 2024
REA
Reading
2 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
59%
21%
20%
71 64 7 +1
29 Oct. 2024
STO
Stockport County
4 - 1
Reading
REA
40%
26%
34%
72 73 1 -1