Pesch vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
BWF
3 - 3
PES
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PES
3 - 3
BFR
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 1
PES
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PES
1 - 2
HUR
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
H05
6 - 0
PES
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
BER
6 - 0
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SVB
0 - 3
BER
11%
18%
71%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BER
4 - 1
WES
87%
9%
3%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 0
BER
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
VFL
1 - 3
BER
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |