Perugia vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 4
PRG
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
VIC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 0
PRG
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 2
EMP
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ASC
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FCC
0 - 0
VNZ
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
VNZ
2 - 0
SAL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |