Perugia vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
USA
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USC
0 - 3
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
REG
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 0
REG
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
REG
0 - 0
FRO
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
REG
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |