Perugia vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CES
1 - 2
PRG
19%
26%
54%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
4 - 1
PRG
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 2
PRG
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 1
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 2
REG
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
REG
0 - 2
JUV
18%
26%
56%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BRE
4 - 4
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
EMP
1 - 1
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |