Perugia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.6%
8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAP
2 - 0
PRG
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEL
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 0
PRG
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRG
17%
27%
57%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 2
FRO
71%
20%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
USF
46%
28%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 1
JUS
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 0
ASL
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASL
4 - 0
MAS
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |