Perugia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
TRI
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 1
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PIS
4 - 1
PRG
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CES
2 - 2
PRG
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAR
57%
27%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
49%
30%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 0
LEC
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 0
PES
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |