Perugia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRG
34%
30%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 0
CTT
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PRG
3 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
1 - 2
PRG
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
CAR
29%
30%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAT
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAR
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIS
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACD
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |