Perugia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
PES
0 - 2
PRG
52%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PRG
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
2 - 4
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 3
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 2
FRO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 2
CTT
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 2
CTT
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
CTT
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |