Perugia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
23.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MAN
4 - 1
PRG
59%
26%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
PRG
3 - 1
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAS
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
ATL
38%
32%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
CES
1 - 2
ASS
45%
30%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |