Perugia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 0
PRG
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 3
CES
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 4
CES
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |