Pérolas Negras vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
NOV
27%
28%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
PER
55%
25%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
PER
59%
25%
16%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
OES
24%
27%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CIA
1 - 2
OES
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIA
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CIA
0 - 1
SAO
24%
32%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
CIA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CIA
1 - 1
POR
35%
31%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |