Pergolettese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
PON
38%
27%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
USA
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
26%
24%
49%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIA
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |